PG Composite Score™
The PG Composite Score™ is PulseGrid™'s central metric. It is a weighted aggregate of six sub-scores that together quantify the net directional pressure that recent events exert on a financial instrument.
Score Range
The composite score ranges from -100 to +100:
| Range | Label | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| +75 to +100 | Strong Bullish | Overwhelming positive event pressure. Historical replay data suggests instruments in this range tend to appreciate. |
| +25 to +74 | Bullish | Net positive event pressure. More favorable events than unfavorable ones are affecting this instrument. |
| -24 to +24 | Neutral | No strong directional signal. Events are mixed or have low impact. |
| -74 to -25 | Bearish | Net negative event pressure. Unfavorable events dominate. |
| -100 to -75 | Strong Bearish | Overwhelming negative event pressure. Historical replay data suggests instruments in this range tend to decline. |
Sub-Score Components
The composite score is built from six sub-scores, each capturing a different dimension:
| Sub-Score | Weight | Range | What It Measures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Event Impact Score | ~30% | -100 to +100 | Direct impact of recent events on the instrument, weighted by event severity and relevance |
| Exposure Score | ~20% | -100 to +100 | How exposed the instrument is to the types of events currently occurring (sector, geography, supply chain) |
| Sentiment Shift Score | ~15% | -100 to +100 | Change in market sentiment derived from event narratives and news flow |
| Market Confirmation Score | ~15% | -100 to +100 | Divergence-based: rewards cases where the event thesis has not yet been priced in, boosting conviction for early-detection opportunities |
| Macro Compatibility Score | ~10% | -100 to +100 | Alignment between the instrument's characteristics and current macroeconomic conditions |
| Uncertainty Score | ~10% | 0 to 1 | Level of uncertainty in the overall assessment (higher = less certain) |
Confidence Level
Alongside the composite score, PulseGrid™ reports a Confidence percentage (0-100%). This reflects how much data supports the score:
| Confidence | Meaning |
|---|---|
| 80-100% | High confidence - multiple corroborating data points, recent events, and market confirmation |
| 50-79% | Moderate confidence - some supporting data but gaps exist |
| 0-49% | Low confidence - limited data, stale events, or conflicting signals. Treat the score with caution. |
PG Signal
Based on the composite score and confidence, PulseGrid™ generates a PG Signal (the platform's proprietary recommendation):
- Strong Buy / Buy: High positive score with high confidence
- Hold: Neutral score or low confidence
- Sell / Strong Sell: High negative score with high confidence
Market Signal (OSINT Consensus)
Alongside the PG Signal, PulseGrid™ displays a Market Signal derived from AI/LLM analysis of multiple reputable OSINT (Open Source Intelligence) financial sources including Yahoo Finance, CNBC, Fox Business, Reuters, and Bloomberg.
The Market Signal represents the broader expert and market consensus for each instrument. It is computed through a rigorous multi-step process:
1. Multi-source aggregation: The LLM queries multiple reputable financial news and analysis sources for the current consensus on each instrument.
2. Signal attenuation: A single mention in one outlet does not trigger a signal. The system requires corroboration across multiple independent sources before assigning a directional signal.
3. Confidence weighting: Each source's signal is weighted by the reliability and specificity of the information.
4. Consensus derivation: The final Market Signal (Buy/Hold/Sell) reflects the weight-of-evidence across all sources.
Signal Divergence
When the PG Signal differs from the Market Signal, PulseGrid™ flags this as a Signal Divergence. This is one of the most valuable features of the platform, as it highlights cases where PulseGrid™'s event-driven analysis sees something the broader market consensus may be missing (or vice versa).
The divergence tooltip provides:
- Both signals side by side
- PulseGrid™'s reasoning for its contrarian position, based on specific events, exposure factors, and macro conditions
- Key factors driving the difference
- Confidence level of the PG Signal
Important: Both PG Signal and Market Signal are analytical outputs, not financial advice. Always combine with your own research.
Historical Market Signal Tracking
PulseGrid™ persists every Market Signal computation to a historical database, enabling users to track how OSINT consensus evolves over time relative to PG Signal™ for each instrument.
The Signal History Chart (available on each Instrument Detail page) displays:
- PG Signal™ timeline: Step-area chart showing how the parametric signal evolved
- Market Signal timeline: Overlaid step-area chart showing OSINT consensus evolution
- Divergence event markers: Points where the two signals disagreed, color-coded by severity
- Configurable time ranges: 7-day, 30-day, and 90-day views
This historical tracking enables pattern recognition, such as identifying instruments where PG Signal™ consistently leads Market Signal by days or weeks, or where persistent divergence preceded significant price moves.