Market Signal (OSINT)
The Market Signal is an AI/LLM-powered consensus indicator that aggregates sentiment and directional views from multiple reputable financial sources (OSINT, or Open Source Intelligence). It serves as a benchmark against which PulseGrid's proprietary PG Signal is compared.
How It Works
1. For each tracked instrument, the system queries multiple financial data sources and analyst consensus databases
2. An LLM synthesizes these inputs into a single directional signal: Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Sell, or Strong Sell
3. A confidence score (0-1) indicates how strongly the sources agree
4. The signal is compared against PG Signal to detect divergences
Signal Levels
| Signal | Numeric Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 5 | Overwhelming bullish consensus |
| Buy | 4 | Majority bullish sentiment |
| Hold | 3 | Neutral or mixed signals |
| Sell | 2 | Majority bearish sentiment |
| Strong Sell | 1 | Overwhelming bearish consensus |
Divergence Detection
When PG Signal and Market Signal disagree, a divergence event is recorded. Divergences are classified by severity:
- Minor: One level apart (e.g., Buy vs. Hold)
- Moderate: Two levels apart (e.g., Buy vs. Sell)
- Significant: Three or more levels apart (e.g., Strong Buy vs. Sell)
Where to Find It
- Dashboard: The Divergence Leaderboard widget ranks instruments by current divergence severity
- Instrument Detail: The Signal History chart shows PG vs. Market signals over time
- Instrument Detail: The Divergence History chart shows divergence magnitude and severity over time
- Accuracy Tracker: Aggregates divergence outcomes across all instruments
- Email Digest: The Signal Divergence Watch section highlights current disagreements
Limitations
- Market Signal is derived from publicly available sources and may not reflect all institutional positioning
- LLM synthesis introduces a layer of interpretation that may occasionally mischaracterize source sentiment
- Signal updates depend on source availability and may lag during market disruptions